Now the world has seen it clearly: this US-China conflict will last for decades and will re-shape a significant portion of the global social and economic order. No one can afford to wait and see. After dramatic soaring up and free-fall roller coaster style developments, US and China reached a first stage settlement in January 2020. In the foreseeable future, numerous rounds of negotiations will continue along with the growth of China’s economic power.
Undoubtedly, the 
US-China trade conflict is now a driving force that could explain and 
help to predict the development of innovation regime and regulatory 
framework concerning IP monetization in China.
Our observation is focused on how this driving force is shaping an environment beneficial to IP monetization.
First,
 the awareness level of IP protection among Chinese entrepreneurs has 
now reached record high.  The news about the trade war and changes of 
business environment concerning tariff and embargo has made headlines 
frequently. The business community recognizes US’s demand in IP 
protection is a key component of this war, and thus it is ready to give 
more and deep thoughts on the value of IP.   
Secondly, 
businesses now must move upstream in the value chain. The trade war has 
broken the current global collaborative models in many aspects and 
forced numerous OEM/ODM companies in China to upgrade their operations 
with independent innovation — or otherwise, they will perish.  When they
 had choice, opportunism dragged the change.  When other options are no 
longer available, innovation becomes a must do.  In facing this new 
reality, Chinese businesses are now projecting their new position in the
 value chain.  This behavior change is expected to increase the volume 
of quality IPs, which are the fuel for IP monetization deals. 
Third,
 the regulatory regime is responding to the ongoing US-China negotiation
 pressure with more concrete rules to punish willful IP violations.  For
 example, according to a new regulation jointly promulgated by 38 
Chinese authorities in 2018, individuals who repeatedly infringe others’
 IPs or refuse to comply with IP protection judgments will be deprived 
of certain privileges, making them feel very inconvenient.
Under
 this regulation, at a business level a violator will be disqualified 
for certain social welfare subsidies or participation in governmental 
procurement. At a personal level, violators will be excluded from public
 transportation, such as trains or planes. The violators cannot no 
longer hide behind their corporate shields if they infringe other’s IPs.
 As a result, business decision makers are becoming more serious in 
respecting the value of their own or others’ IPs. 
Finally and
 more generally, intellectuals are forming a consensus that, at least in
 the IP areas, the trade war may be considered as a leverage to improve 
and strengthen China’s innovation regime.  Any settlement agreements 
with US does not necessarily contradict with China’s long-term 
interests.  It may just speed up the transformation along a track that 
China has already paved.  At top level policy makers, the merits of IP 
protection to economic growth is well recognized. The demands from the 
US, while being an unpleasant pressure, also appear to push for a change
 in the same direction.
All these developments are creating an
 environment more friendly to IP monetization. Any financial deal trying
 to exploit the value of IPs would prefer the underlying rights to be 
more stable, enforceable with more transparency, and with better quality
 and a larger pooling. The requirements and the dispute resolution 
mechanism set forth under the US-China settlement agreement signed in 
January 2020, and potential further developments in the coming years, 
are ironing many wrinkles otherwise hard to remove before and giving 
more greenlights to IP monetization deals.
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